Proven Betfair Football Strategies That Work!

Betfair Football Strategies That Work!

One of the best things about online betting is the opportunity to win betting exchanges. They provide a different experience compared to traditional sportsbooks. Most importantly, you have the flexibility to be the bookie on any market instead of matching it. In this post, I will go through the most popular Betfair football strategies. They are all based on the concept of placing a wager with positive expected value.

This approach gives you the best chance to make money from football betting. It opens the door to many betting strategies that are impossible under other circumstances.

This is especially true about the largest betting exchange in the world Betfair. The platform offers plenty of markets and high liquidity when it comes to popular events. Football is probably the best example, as you will find large volume on the likes of the English Premier League, the Champions League, and other leagues from all over the globe.

A lot of the systems I cover are paid and require some investment on your side. They don’t cost much, but this could be an issue for people with a limited betting bankroll. This is why I included two options that are completely free at the end. If you can’t afford to pay for the others, you can still start trading on Betfair.

Before I start talking about Betfair football betting strategies…

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Betfair 1% Club

The Betfair 1% Club is one of the safest strategies out there and it’s part of the Betting Mastermind package. The basic concept is that you start with a certain bankroll and increase it by around 1% with every single bet. The best thing about this approach is that you will cover all the outcomes before the match starts. Essentially, there is little involved if you are doing it right.

This makes the 1% Club one of the most profitable Betfair football strategies and pretty much any player can take advantage. You need to be disciplined and take only the wagers that cover the 1% Club criteria. Once you place them, the high volume on Betfair means they will be matched within a couple of hours.

Of course, the result won’t be the same every single time. Sometimes you might even lose a bit or break even. However, there will be cases when you will increase your bankroll with 2-3%. This might not seem a lot to you, but the Betfair 1% Club provides opportunities on a daily basis.

Just imagine the following example. You start with an investment of £500 which is not that much. If you are consistent and place a bet each day, you will have £1,000 in 75 days. If you keep playing, you will get to £5,000 in another 170 days.

That’s a solid pile of cash and as I already mentioned, you don’t have to be some kind of an expert to achieve it. Simply stay disciplined and strictly follow the system. The results will inevitably come. I’ve written a more detailed guide on the 1% system here.

Betfair Renegade

The Renegade is another solid Betfair football strategy based on mathematics. The members of Betting Mastermind can use the special software, which recognises value bets available on Betfair.

The program will determine the true odds for various football matches and compare them to the odds on Betfair. It will then display each option that contains a positive expected value in the long run. The Renegade system doesn’t require laying, you will only back the games.

This makes it one of the simplest and most straightforward Betfair football strategies available. You simply can check the opportunities you have and place your bet. The best news is that the software also shows the rating of each game.

It is calculated by comparing the true odds with the actual price provided on the betting exchange. The higher the rating the bigger the value. You can stick to only a few matches where the value is enormous or include more selections. It’s up to your personal preference, really. Still, I would suggest you to pick games with a rating of 15 or higher.

The other important factor is the price. The Renegade’s main strength is that it goes through all kinds of markets. Often the ones that are not so popular are where the value lies. As a result, you will often see correct score results or other better option priced very high.

If you decide to go for odds of 10 or higher, you will face a lot of variance. Despite the positive long-term expectations, the probability of a win is way too small. You can spend a lot of money before hitting a winner which is hardly ideal.

Since I mentioned variation, I should clarify that Betfair Renegade is not a risk-free system. It requires at least a couple of hundred bets to give success. For that purpose, you must follow proper bankroll management or you risk busing.

I have another tip for you – try to place your bets just before the game. The odds are constantly moving, so you should avoid going for them too early. I’ve written a more detailed guide on Betfair Renegade here.

Betfair Matched Bettors Exploit

The next strategy is one of my favorite and it’s truly some next level thinking. You probably know a thing or two about matched betting already. The classic variation of this football strategy would be to take advantage of free bets, price boosts, or other bookie promotions. Back a certain outcome to profit from the sportsbook’s deal and then go to Betfair. Lay the same outcome and your profit is locked.

There are tons of people out there who are making some good money. When they go to the betting exchange, their main target is to secure profit. This is the reason they are willing to accept odds that are higher and contain positive expected value in the long run.

And you can be the one who takes full advantage. You can scout the weekly promotions by the bookies, like the Sky Bet price boosts for example. Then go to Betfair and calculate the true odds. Remove the commission of the betting exchange (usually 5%) and check if there’s value up for grabs. If that’s the case, you’ve got a winner and should place a bet.

Once again, the Betfair Matched Bettors Exploit is a system relying on value betting. It’s not risk-free, so you should plan accordingly. Make sure to use cautious bankroll management that will give you a long enough runway. There will be some ups and downs, but you will certainly see solid profits after a couple of hundred bets.

Goal Profits

Some of you might’ve heard about Goal Profits. It’s one of the most beloved Betfair football systems among the punters. It has been around for more than 5 years and is still profitable. Of course, one of the reasons is that the system is constantly being adjusted to the changes on the market.

Essentially, Goal Profits is focused on two football betting markets: Correct Score and the match to end in a draw. By following a certain set of criteria, you will regularly find games that provide an opportunity to profit.

When you discover such a match, you should be prepared to be online shortly before it begins and stay active until it ends or you lock a profit. Goal Profits relies on placing some bets before the kick off and actively trading afterward.

You should constantly follow what’s going on and make the correct decisions. The good news is that there is not much room for error. Simply use the instructions. They might seem a bit confusing at first, but only after a couple of games you will know what to do.

Goal Profits is not a risk-free strategy, but you will rarely lose big. The idea is to secure decent profits most of the time and suck up tiny losses every once in a while. If you are doing it right, you will see your bankroll steadily growing thanks to the Goal Profits system.

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Delay React Trading

As the name of the system suggests, the Delay Reach Trading is once again focused on combining pre-game and live bets on Betfair. The author of this approach is Clive Keeling and he relies on a couple of factors to find profitable opportunities.

The first is statistical analysis. Clive picks football games that meet certain criteria and often, the country and league don’t really matter. This is why you will often see matches from competitions that are hardly considered mainstream.

The main idea behind the Delay React Trading is to place the suggested bets before the games start and the stay online. Follow how the match unfolds and trade live accordingly. Clive Keeling has a number of tips so you should easily understand how to place your bets.

As most Betfair trading systems, you will occasionally lose with the Daily React Trading. This shouldn’t discourage you, as the long-term goal is to lose small and win medium amounts of cash. The downside of the system is that you will have to dedicate a lot of time and follow each match.

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DRT betfair football strategy

Total Football Trading

The Total Football Trading or TFT is not just one system. It’s a package of 10 Betfair football trading systems that you can get. The guys behind are professionals with years of experience on the betting exchange. They are surprisingly good at finding valuable spots and making money from football.

The TFT package has been tested multiple times and there are plenty of happy users who confirm the systems work. I can say the same, but there are some things to consider when discussing the Total Football Trading service.

For a start, you need at least some experience with Betfair. The ability to quickly back and lay, as well as close open positions is essential if you want to succeed. Of course, even inexperienced players can learn quickly.

The second aspect you need to consider is the time you will have to dedicate to Total Football Trading. Most of the systems include will require you to be online for the football matches. If you are a fan of the sport and watch a lot of games, it shouldn’t be an issue. Still, you simply can’t win if you are not actively following what’s going on and adjusting your trades.

Finally, you can start with just a small bankroll. Even £200-300 is enough at the beginning. Of course, your profits won’t be exceptional with such a capital, but your bankroll will grow and allow you to increase the amounts you place.

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total football trading betfair football strategy

Betfair Trading Community

As the name suggests, this is not exactly a system but a community dedicated to successfully trading on Betfair. Still, I believe it contains a lot of value and deserves a spot on my list.

The idea behind the Betfair Trading Community is to connect punters from all over the globe. You can ask questions, exchange ideas, test new strategies, and find useful tips. The whole platform works a bit like a forum. You can start new threads or explore the existing ones.

Joining the Betfair Trading Community costs £14.99 the first month and £29.99/month after that. Such a price represents an exceptional value for inexperienced Betfair traders. You will get in touch with some professionals who have been around for years. They will answer your questions and help avoid some of the pitfalls along the way.

However, the Betfair Trading Community is also valuable for experience punters as well. You can find a lot of ideas for trading systems, picks, and other topics that can help you improve your results. On top of that, you can share your own suggestions and collaborate with other players. The feedback and additional set of eyes can turn a simple concept into a profitable strategy.

After all, the Betfair Trading Community of people who have one thing in common – they want to make money on the betting exchange. Also, it is not limited to football strategies. You can find a lot of useful information about other sports too.

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betfair trading comminuty football trading strategy

Free Betfair Football Strategies

All of the systems I covered up to this point require you to invest some cash. They are worth and will return the money quickly. However, not everyone can afford them. If you can’t or simply don’t want to go for one of the Betfair football strategies I discussed so far, here are two options that are completely free:

Lay the Draw

Lay the Draw is one of the most popular Betfair football trading systems out there. It has been around for ages and a lot of punters build a bankroll using it. One of the problems with LTD is that a lot of people started using it through the years. This has decreased its value, but there is still money to be made if you are smart enough.

The whole concept of Lay the Draw is simple. You lay the draw in football matches with a big favorite. Then, you will wait for the favorite to score which will dramatically increase the price for a draw. At this point, you simply trade out for a profit and forget about the game.

Of course, not all of the games will go in your favor. Sometimes, the favorite won’t score until late in the game. In other cases, the underdog will actually be the first to get a goal. Laying the draw requires you to follow the match closely and make the best decisions. If you can do that, you will end up getting a decent return for most of the games and losing just a fraction of your bet in the worst-case scenario.

The trick is to wait for the second half or even around the 65-70th minute mark to close your trades. When the favorite is leading with one goal, you will get a solid profit. It will be even better if it’s 2 or more goals ahead. At the same time, even if the game is tied, you can trade out for a small loss.

Probably the trickiest scenario happens when the underdog is leading until late in the game. If the difference is two or more goals, you can close the trade and lock a profit. If it’s a single goal, it’s a bit tricky. You could back the draw and usually get out with a tiny loss. You could also risk it and hope that the favorite doesn’t manage to score.

Fortunately, it gets easier as you gain experience. You should be able to get the best out of tricky situations more often than not.

Time Decay Method

The time decay method is the basis of plenty of Betfair football strategies. Simply put, once the game is live, the odds will always be moving around and this creates a lot of opportunities for short-term trades.

For example, if you back a 0:0 correct score before the game and there are no goals by the 15th minute, the price for the same market will be lower. You can then lay it and collect a profit no matter what.

Obviously, this is the best case scenario and brings a tiny profit. Often enough, an early goal will lead to huge losses, This is why there are additional steps when it comes to the time decay method. For a start, it would be a good idea to rely on some stats and find patterns in the behavior of some teams.

For example, they might be slow starters and rarely score goals until the second half of the matches. In other cases. Some teams are known for pushing hard right from the kickoff. If you are good enough in finding such tendencies, the time decay method can bring you some solid profits in the long run.
Still, I highly recommend you to start with stall stakes unless you are an experienced Betfair trader. The strategy can mislead newbies with a good start that then ends up in a disaster.


As you can see, Betfair truly provides a ton of opportunities for football punters. The betting exchange is a must for anyone who’s serious about betting. If you decide to give it a shot, starting with a proven strategy is the best way to go. You will learn the basics and make some money right off the bat. As time goes by, you could improve your approach and find even more value using the right Betfair Football Strategies.

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